Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 35 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 18:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 7 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 12 at 1:42PM EDT until May 12 at 2:15PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 198,909 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 12, 2026 · score 43 · 8.5 km
- March 16, 2026 · score 43 · 17.8 km
- July 27, 2026 · score 48 · 20.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 28.2731, -83.1856 |
| Nearest City | Tarpon Springs (44 km) |
| Population Exposed | 198.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-12T17:42:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.121d4f996bd0fc3b6dd032035d0fc674 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM; Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued May 12 at 1:42PM EDT until May 12 at 2:15PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-12T14:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.121d4f996bd0fc3b6dd032035d0fc674110c0fc4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.34d4d6c4b43a3e05f0d92a43d5bde2b1a5b3d5b1.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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